środa, 22 października 2008

The Risk Today - Oct 22

EurUsd Market tested 1.3002 low yesterday. On the downside, further weakness will open the way down to 1.2878 January 2007 low. Strong resistance holds 1.2490 Trendline support. Initial support holds 1.2740 this morning low. On the upside, only a return over 1.4000 (former trendline support) and 1.5000 will release actual pressure and may put key initial resistance 1.6000 into focus. Resistance holds 1.4002 former trendline support. Initial resistance holds 1.3769 Tuesday high.

GbpUsd Market dropped 3.68% yesterday at 1.6513. This break of the low triangle pattern (1.7000) did open the way through 1.6568 November 2003 low and 61.8% retracement of 1.36822.1161 advances. Initial support hold 1.5471 August 2003 low. Following supports are 1.4560 trendline and 1.3682 March 2001 low. On the upside, strong resistance holds 1.7631 last weeks high ahead of 1.8304 former support.

UsdJpy Downtrend started in September is still valid having hit 97.91 on Friday 10th October and last week 103.07 rebound which marks initial resistance. On the further upside, recovery over 105 pivot point will put focus again on 108 and 110.67 15th August high. On the downside, renewed pressure may open the way to 95.75 17th March low. Current downtrend will stand below 103 upper trendline resistance.

UsdChf Market posted new high 1.1694 this morning. Further advance may open the way to 1.1895 October 2007 high and strong resistance. On the downside, only weakness below 1.0692, 22nd September low, would undermine the current uptrend and reverse down to 1.0500 and 1.0375. Such a move may look for 1.0013 15th July low in front of 0.9637 17th March low. Initial support holds 1.1246 last week low.

piątek, 2 maja 2008

Forex

Forex is an interbank market that was created in 1971 when international trade transitioned from fixed to floating exchange rates. Since then the rates of currencies relative to each other are determined by the most obvious means which is the exchange at a mutually agreed rate.

This market surpasses the others in its volume. For example, the daily turnover of world securities market is estimated at $300 billion, while Forex approaches 1 to 3 TRILLION US dollars in the same amount of time.

However, Forex is not a market in a traditional sense. It doesn't have a fixed location of the trading floor as, for example, futures market does. The trading is done over the telephone and at the computer terminals in hundreds of banks around the world simultaneously.

Futures and securities markets have one more significant feature distinguishing them from Forex, and at the same time restricting them. The trading is suspended at the end of each day and resumed only next morning. Thus, should certain significant developments occur in the USA, the opening of Russian market next morning could quite surprise you, if you're trading there.

Forex is open 24 hours a day, and the currency exchange operations are maintained throught working days of the week. Almost every time zone (London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Sydney) has dealers willing to quote currencies.